More Guns Less Crime (52 page)

Read More Guns Less Crime Online

Authors: John R. Lott Jr

Tags: #gun control; second amendment; guns; crime; violence

BOOK: More Guns Less Crime
7.78Mb size Format: txt, pdf, ePub

NOTES TO PAGES 235-241/307

County edition, p. Bl; and "Homeowner Shoots Man Climbing into Window," Knoxville (TN) Knox-News Sentinel, Aug. 1, 1999.

121. While I find the claims greatly exaggerated, another recent study has come out claiming that sixty-four children under the age of two die every year from sleeping with their parents (Shari Roan, "Baby's First Year: Dangerous to Doze with Baby Alongside?" Los Angeles Times, Oct. 4, 1999, p. SI).

122. Brenda Rodriguez, "Notes Begin to Tell Story of Rampage in Atlanta: Killer Wanted to Exact Revenge," Dallas Morning News, July 31, 1999, p. 1A.

123. Rhonda Cook, "To the Rescue: Salesman Grabs Gun, Prevents Tragedy," Atlanta Journal and Constitution, Aug. 3, 1999, IB; Lyda Longa and David Pendered, "Armed Patient Shot in Grady," Atlanta Journal and Constitution, Aug. 4, 1999, p. IB; Hannity and Colmes, Fox News Network, Aug. 11, 1999 (21:30 EST); and "Armed Georgia Defenders Thwart Two Gunmen," Washington Times (from Reuters), Aug. 4, 1999, p. A9.

124. Carol Robinson, "Gunman Opens Fire at Alabama Business," New Orleans Times-Picayune, Aug. 6, 1999 p. A17.

125. Editorial, "Lethal Weapon," Daily News of Los Angeles, May 6, 1999, p. N20.

126. Elaine Gale, "Grieving Mother Haunted by Crash Scene," Los Angeles Times, May 6, 1999, p. Al.

127. A Nexis search of news stories for the one week after both incidents indicates that Buford Furrow was mentioned in the news about five times as often as Steve Abrams, and that while news accounts of Furrow tended to be full-feature news stories, virtually all of the mentions of Mr. Abrams were fairly minor recounts of the Associated Press story that ran on him. Later in the day it was discovered that Furrow had killed a U.S. Post Office worker, but the initial news coverage was based upon the attack at the community center.

Other writers have done an excellent job of pointing out these biases (Sowell, "Why Does Media Hide Benefits of Arming Citizens?" p. L3; JefTJacoby, "Media Bias Revealed by Crimes That Go Unnoticed," San Jose Mercury News, Aug. 24, 1999).

128. This total includes 427 incendiary bombings. Eleven deaths and 29 injuries were classified as "noncriminal" (Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms, "Arson and Explosives: Incidents Report, 1997" [Department of the Treasury, 1999]). For an example of a recent knife attack that injured several people on an Amtrak train see Editorial, "Speak Up," Dayton Daily News, Sept. 2, 1999.

129. For example, CNN's Late Edition with WolfBlitzer, May 2, 1999, 12:00 a.m. EST.

130. Fox Butterfield, "Study Exposes Illegal Traffic in New Guns," New York Times, Feb. 21, 1999, sec. 1, p. 22.

131. Tom Diaz, Making a Killing: The Business of Guns in America (New York: New Press, 1999).

132. Teichroeb, "Hearing Today for Boy Expelled over Squirt Gun," p. Bl; Mike Mar-tindale, "OU Acts after Police Take Youth into Custody after Call," Detroit News, Aug. 13, 1999; Pete Falcone, "Student Expelled for Toting BB Gun," Bloomington (IL) Pantograph, May 27, 1999, p. A2; Cathy Cummins, "Expulsion Law's Author Says Schools Have Gone Too Far," Rocky Mountain News, Feb. 23, 1998, p. A4; and "Howitzer Picture Cut From Yearbook," Associated Press Newswire, Oct. 28, 1999, 3:16 EDT These different incidents were said to violate schools' "zero tolerance" policy.

133. This information on the number of words in different gun-control laws was compiled by Alan Korwin (Alan Korwin, The California Gun Owner's Guide [Phoenix: Bloomfield Press, 1999], The Texas Gun Owner's Guide [Phoenix: Bloomfield Press, 1998]; and Gun Laws of America [Phoenix: Bloomfield Press, 1997]).

134. From the Web site of the Australia Bureau of Statistics at www.abs.gov.au.

135. Nicholas Rufford, "Official: More Muggings in England Than US," Sunday Times (London), Oct. 11, 1998.

308 / NOTES TO PAGES 241-253

137. Paul M. Barrett, "Lawsuits Trigger Gun Firms' Bankruptcy Filings," Wall Street Journal, Sept. 13, 1999, p. BIO. The story lists three major gun makers filing for bankruptcy: Sundance Industries, Davis Industries, and Lorcin Engineering Company.

138. Vanessa O'Connell and Douglas A. Blackman, "New UPS Rules Are Latest Jolt to Gun Makers," Wall Street Journal, Oct. 7, 1999, p. Bl. There is at least some skepticism of UPS's motives. As one large handgun dealer said, "We get as many handguns from UPS here as anybody. We haven't missed a handgun in years. This is not a problem. It is just window dressing to make a political statement" (Timothy Burn, "UPS Won't Ship Guns on Ground: Air Delivery OK," Washington Times, Oct. 8, 1999, p. Al).

139. Terry L. Anderson, Charles W Baird, Randy E. Barnett, et al. [letter signed by 290 academics], "Disarming Good People," Washington Times, June 16, 1999, p. A17. The correct number of 294 signatories was noted in John R. Lott, Jr., "More Gun Controls? They Haven't Worked in the Past," Wall Street Journal, June 17, 1999, p. A26.

140. Dale Anema, "A Father at Columbine High," American Enterprise, Sept./Oct. 1999, pp. 48-50.

APPENDIX ONE

1. Although this jargon may appear overwhelming, it is actually fairly simple. Consider the following example. Suppose we wish to present findings that height and SAT scores are correlated among college-bound students. Instead of reporting that an additional inch is related to an increase in test scores of so many points, we can compare standard-deviation changes, which would be equivalent to reporting the results as comparisons of changes in percentile height with percentile changes in the SAT-scores.

2. To phrase this in terms of the earlier discussion of standard deviations, with a symmetric distribution, there is a 32 percent probability that a variable will take on a value that is more than one standard deviation different from its mean, and only a five percent probability that it will be more than two standard deviations away from the mean.

APPENDIX THREE

1. U.S. Department of Justice, Crime in the United States, 1994 (Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, 1994.) I also wish to thank Tom Bailey of the FBI and Jeff Maurer of the Department of Health and Human Services for answering questions concerning the data used in this paper.

2. The Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research number for this data set was 6387, and the principle investigator was James Alan Fox of Northeastern University College of Criminal Justice.

3. Dropping the zero crime values from the sample made the "shall-issue" coefficients larger and more significant, but doing the same thing for the accident-rate regressions did not alter "shall-issue" coefficients. (See also the discussion at the end of the section headed "Using County and State Data for the United States" in chapter 4.

4. For further descriptions of the procedures for calculating intercensus estimates of population, see ICPSR (8384): U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, In-tercensal Estimates of the Population of Counties by Age, Sex, and Race (United States), 1970—1980 (Ann Arbor, MI: ICPSR, Winter 1985). See also Bureau of the Census, Methodology for Experimental Estimates of the Population of Counties by Age and Sex: July 1, 1975, Current Population Reports, series P-23, no. 103, and Census of Population, 1980: County Population by Age, Sex, Race, and Spanish Origin (Preliminary OMB-Consistent Modified Race).

5. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Methodology for Experimental Estimates of the Population of Counties by Age and Sex: July 1, 1975, Current Population Reports,

NOTES TO PAGE 254/309

series P-23, no. 103; see also Bureau of the Census, Census of Population, 1980: County Population by Age, Sex, Race, and Spanish Origin (Preliminary OMB-Consistent Modified Race), pp. 19—23.

6. U.S. Department of Commerce, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 114th ed., table 746, p. 487.

7. Thomas B. Marvell and Carlisle E. Moody, "The Impact of Enhanced Prison Terms for Felonies Committed with Guns," Criminology 33 (May 1995): 259—60.

Bibliography

Akhil Reed Amar. "The Bill of Rights and the Fourteenth Amendment." Yale Law Journal

101 (Apr. 1992). Andreoni, James. "Criminal Deterrence in the Reduce Form: A New Perspective on Ehr-

lich's Seminal Study." Economic Inquiry 33 (July 1995). Annest, J. L.; J. A. Mercy; D. R. Gibson; and G. W. Ryan. "National Estimates of Nonfatal,

Firearm-Related Injuries: Beyond the Tip of the Iceberg." Journal of the American Medical

Association (June 14, 1995). Ayres, Ian, and Steven Levitt. "Measuring Positive Externalities from Unobservable Victim

Precaution: An Empirical Analysis of Lojack." NBER working paper 5928 (1997). Bartley, William Alan; Mark A. Cohen; and Luke Froeb. "The Effect of Concealed-Weapon

Laws: Estimating Misspecification Uncertainty." Vanderbilt University working paper

(1997). Battalio, Raymond C; John H. Kagel; and Owen R. Phillips. "Optimal Prices and Animal

Consumers in Congested Markets." Economic Inquiry 24 (Apr. 1986). . "Optimal Prices and Animal Consumers in Congested Markets: A Reply." Economic Inquiry 25 (Oct. 1987). Battalio, Raymond C; John H. Kagel; Howard Rachlin; and Leonard Green. "Commodity

Choice Behavior with Pigeons as Subjects." Journal of Political Economy 84 (Feb. 1981). Becker, Gary S. "Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach." Journal of Political Economy

76 (Mar./Apr. 1968). Block, Michael K., and Vernon E. Gerety. "Some Experimental Evidence on the Differences between Student and Prisoner Reactions to Monetary Penalties." Journal of Legal

Studies 24 (Jan. 1995). Block, Michael K., and John Heineke. "A Labor Theoretical Analysis of Criminal Choice."

American Economic Review 65 (June 1975). Blumstein, Alfred, and Daniel Nagin. "The Deterrent Effect of Legal Sanctions on Draft

Evasion." Stanford University Law Review 28 (1977). Blumstein, Alfred; Jacqueline Cohen; and Daniel Nagin, eds. Deterrence and Incapacitation:

Estimating the Effects of Criminal Sanctions on Crime Rates. Washington, DC: National Academy

of Sciences, 1978. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms. A Progress Report: Gun-Dealer Licensing and Illegal Gun

Trafficking. Washington, DC: Department of the Treasury, Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco,

and Firearms, Jan. 1997. Bureau of Justice Statistics Special Reports." Murder in Large Urban Counties, 1988."

Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, 1993.

. "Murder in Families. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, 1994.

Cherrington, Ernest H. The Evolution of Prohibition in the United States of America. Westerville, OH:

Tern-Press, 1920. Colvin, D. Leigh. Prohibition in the United States. New York: George H. Doran Co., 1926. Cook, P. J. "The Role of Firearms in Violent Crime," in M. E. Wolfgang and N. A. Werner,

eds., Criminal Violence. Newbury, NJ: Sage Publishers, 1982.

. "The Technology of Personal Violence." Crime and Justice: Annual Review of Research

14 (1991).

Cottrol, Robert J., and Raymond T. Diamond. "The Second Amendment: Toward an Afro-Americanist Reconsideration." Georgetown Law Review 80 (Dec. 1991).

Cramer, Clayton E., and David B. Kopel. "'Shall Issue': The New Wave of Concealed-Handgun Permit Laws." Tennessee Law Review 62 (Spring 1995). A longer version of this study is available from the Independence Institute, 14142 Denver West Parkway, Suite 185, Golden, Colorado, 80401-3134.

Daly, Martin, and Margo Wilson. Homicide. Hawthorne, NY: Aldine de Gruyter Publishers, 1988.

Davis, James A., and Tom W Smith. General Social Surveys, 1972—1993: Cumulative Codebook. Chicago: National Opinion Research Center, 1993.

Donohue, John, and Peter Siegelman. "Is the United States at the Optimal Rate of Crime?" Journal of Legal Studies 27 (Jan. 1998).

Dilulio, John J., Jr. "The Question of Black Crime." The Public Interest 117 (Fall 1994).

. "White Lies About Black Crime." The Public Interest 118 (Winter 1995).

Dunford, Edward B. The History of the Temperance Movement. Washington, DC: Tern-Press, 1943.

Ehrlich, Isaac. "Participation in Illegitimate Activities: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation." Journal of Political Economy 81 (1973).

. "Crime, Punishment, and the Market for Offenses." Journal of Economic Perspectives

10 (Winter 1996).

Ehrlich, Isaac, and Randall Mark. "Fear of Deterrence: A Critical Evaluation of the Report of the Panel on Research on Deterrent and Incapacitation Effects." Journal of Legal Studies 6 (June 1977).

Geller, William A., and Michael S. Scott. Deadly Force: What We Know. Washington, DC: Police Executive Research Forum, 1992.

Glaeser, Edward L., and Bruce Sacerdote. "Why Is There More Crime in Cities? (Harvard University working paper, Nov. 14, 1995).

Glaeser, Edward, and Spencer Glendon. "Who Owns Guns?" American Economic Review 88 (May 1998).

Greenwald, Bruce C. "A General Analysis of the Bias in the Estimated Standard Errors of Least Squares Coefficients." Journal of Econometrics 22 (Aug. 1983).

Grossman, Michael; Frank J. Chaloupka; and Charles C. Brown. "The Demand for Cocaine by Young Adults: A Rational Addiction Approach." NBER working paper, July 1996.

Kagel, John H.; Raymond C. Battalio; Howard Rachlin; and Leonard Green. "Experimental Studies of Consumer Demand Behavior Using Laboratory Animals." Economic Inquiry 13 (Jan. 1975).

. "Demand Curves for Animal Consumers." Quarterly Journal of Economics 96 (Feb.

1981).

Kahan, Dan M. "What Do Alternative Sanctions Mean?" University of Chicago Law Review 63 (1996).

Kahan, Dan, and Martha Nussbaum. "Two Conceptions of Emotion in Criminal Law." Columbia Law Review 96 (Mar. 1996).

Kates, Don B., and Dan Polsby. "The Background of Murders." Northwestern University Law School working paper (1997).

Kates, Don, and Dan Polsby. "Of Genocide and Disarmament." Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology 86 (Fall 1995).

Kellermann, Arthur L., et al. "Gun Ownership as a Risk Factor for Homicide in the Home." New England Journal of Medicine (Oct. 7, 1993).

Other books

The Way You Look Tonight by Carlene Thompson
Stand Into Danger by Alexander Kent
Tomorrow River by Lesley Kagen
The Eighteenth Parallel by MITRAN, ASHOKA
The Losing Role by Steve Anderson
The Vampire's Protector by Michele Hauf