Unthinkable (81 page)

Ramberg, Bennett. “Looking Back: Osirak and Its Lessons for Iran Policy.”
Arms Control Today
42, No. 4 (May 2012): 40–43.

Riedel, Bruce. “If Israel Attacks.”
National Interest
, No. 109 (September/October 2010).

Rieger, René, and Markus Schiller. “Pre-Emptive Strike Against Iran: Prelude to an Avoidable Disaster?”
Middle East Policy
19, No. 4 (Winter 2012): 127–39.

Robb, Charles, Dennis Ross, and Michael Makvosky. “The Economic Cost of a Nuclear Iran.”
Wall Street Journal
, December 17, 2012.

Rubin, Barry. “The Right Kind of Containment.”
Foreign Affairs
89, No. 4 (July/August 2010): 163–66.

Russell, Richard. “A Saudi Nuclear Option?”
Survival
43, No. 2 (Summer 2001): 69–79.

Saberi, Roxana.
Between Two Worlds: My Life and Captivity in Iran
. New York: HarperCollins, 2010.

Sadjadpour, Karim. “The Nuclear Players.”
Journal of International Affairs
60, No. 2 (Spring/Summer 2007): 125–34.

———. “Reading Khamenei: The World View of Iran's Most Powerful Leader.” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2008.

Sadjadpour, Karim, and Diane de Gramont. “Reading Kennan in Tehran.”
Foreign Affairs
90, No. 2 (March/April 2011).

Sagan, Scott D., and Kenneth N. Waltz.
The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed
. 2nd ed. New York: Norton, 2002.

Sagan, Scott D., Kenneth Waltz, and Richard K. Betts. “A Nuclear Iran: Promoting Stability or Courting Disaster?”
Journal of International Affairs
60, No. 2 (Spring/Summer 2007): 135–50.

Sartori, Anne E.
Deterrence by Diplomacy.
Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2005.

Schake, Kori. “Dealing with a Nuclear Iran.”
Policy Review
, No. 142 (April/May 2007).

Sebenius, James K., and Michael Singh. “Is a Nuclear Deal with Iran Possible?”
International Security
37, No. 3 (Winter 2012/2013): 52–91.

Seifzadeh, Hossein S. “The Landscape of Factional Politics and Its Future in Iran.”
Middle East Journal
57, No. 1 (Winter 2003): 57–75.

Sick, Gary.
All Fall Down: America's Fateful Encounter with Iran.
London: Tauris, 1985.

Slavin, Barbara.
Bitter Friends, Bosom Enemies: Iran, the U.S., and the Twisted Path to Confrontation.
New York: St. Martin's Press, 2007.

Smith, Jeffrey H., and John B. Bellinger III. “Providing a Legal Basis to Attack Iran.”
Washington Post
, September 27, 2012.

“Spider Web: The Making and Unmaking of Iran Sanctions.” Middle East Report No. 138, International Crisis Group, February 25, 2013.

Stephens, Bret. “Iran Cannot be Contained.”
Commentary
130, No. 1 (July/August 2010): 61–70.

Takeyh, Ray. “All the Ayatollah's Men.”
National Interest,
No. 121 (September/October 2012): 51–61.

———.
Guardians of the Revolution: Iran and the World in the Age of the Ayatollahs
. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2009.

———.
Hidden Iran:
Paradox and Power in the Islamic Republic
. New York: Times Books, 2006.

Talmadge, Caitlin. “Closing Time: Assessing the Iranian Threat to the Strait of Hormuz.”
International Security
33, No. 1 (Summer 2008): 82–117.

Terrill, W. Andrew.
The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Future of Middle East Security
. Carlisle, Pa.: U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, 2011.

Vaez, Ali, and Karim Sadjadpour. “Iran's Nuclear Odyssey: Costs and Risks.” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, April 2013.

Waltz, Kenneth N. “The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: More May Be Better.” Adelphi Paper No. 171. London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1981.

Ward, Steven R. “The Continuing Evolution of Iran's Military Doctrine.”
Middle East Journal
59, No. 4 (Autumn 2005): 559–76.

———.
Immortal: A Military History of Iran and Its Armed Forces
. Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press, 2009.

Watman, Kenneth, Dean Wilkening, with John Arquila and Brian Nichiporuk. “U.S. Regional Deterrence Strategies.” MR490, RAND Corporation, 1995.

Waxman, Matthew. “What the Cuban Missile Crisis Teaches Us About Iran.”
CNN.com
, October 25, 2012.

Wehrey, Frederic, Jerrold D. Green, Brian Nichiporuk, Alireza Nader, Lydia Hansell, Rasool Nafisi, and S. R. Bohandy. “The Rise of the Pasdaran: Assessing the Domestic Roles of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.” RAND Corporation, 2009, available at
http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2008/RAND_MG821.pdf
.

Wehrey, Frederic, David E. Thale, Nora Bensahel, Kim Cragin, Jerrold D. Green, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Nadia Oweidat, and Jennifer Li.
Dangerous but Not Omnipotent: Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East.
Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, 2009.

Wilkening, Dean, and Kenneth Watman. “Nuclear Deterrence in a Regional Context.” MR 500, RAND Corporation, 1995.

Yadlin, Amos, and Avner Golov. “A Nuclear Iran: The Spur to a Regional Arms Race?”
Strategic Assessment
15, No. 3 (October 2012): 7–26.

Yadlin, Amos, and Yoel Guzansky. “Iran on the Threshold.”
Strategic Assessment
15, No. 1 (April 2012): 7–14.

Zanotti, Jim, Kenneth Katzman, Jeremiah Gertler, and Steven A. Hildreth. “Israel: Possible Military Strike Against Iran's Nuclear Facilities.” Congressional Research Service, R42443, March 27, 2012.

Zarif, M. Javad. “Tackling the Iran-U.S. Crisis.”
Journal of International Affairs
60, No. 2 (Spring/Summer 2007): 73–94.

Page numbers beginning with 439 refer to end notes.

Abbasi-Davani, Fereydoun,
62

Abdallah, King of Saudi Arabia,
78
,
249
,
318

Abu Dhabi,
88
–89

Acheson, Dean,
71
,
333
,
370

Addis Ababa,
91

Afghanistan,
10
,
121
–22,
157

Mashad area of,
17

mountainous terrain of,
5

Northern Alliance in,
241

Taliban rule of,
17
,
114

2001 Taliban eviction in,
241

Afghanistan War (2001–),
xiv
,
26
,
114
,
153
,
268
–69,
372

drawdown of U.S. troops in,
304

as Operation Enduring Freedom,
244
,
406

U.S. invasion in,
116

U.S. troops killed in,
32
–33,
65
,
270

winding down of,
356

Africa,
209
,
283

Aghazadeh-Khoi, Gholamreza,
37

Ahmadinejad, Mahmud,
33
,
135
–37,
387

cabinet of,
21

destruction of Israel supported by,
15

erratic leadership style of,
19
,
31
,
366

Khameini condemnation of,
13

nuclear program and,
42
–43,
50
,
58
,
193

presidency of,
13
,
42
–43,
50
,
366

2009 reelection of,
19

U.S. relations with,
22

Air Force, Israel,
144

Air Force, U.S.,
42
,
78
,
144
,
220
–21,
268
,
314
,
345

fighters and strike planes of,
231
–32,
345

foreign bases of,
247
–48,
355
–56

Albright, David,
196
–99

Alevras-Chen, Maria,
245

Ali, Ben,
318
,
368

al-Kibar reactor destruction,
184
,
195
,
247
,
398
,
399

al-Qa'ida,
45
,
247
,
287
,
292
,
369

counterterrorism against,
318
,
330

Iranian support of,
29
,
30

Saudi support of,
69

Sunnis in,
70

al-Qa'ida in Iraq,
30

Amangah, Abol-Ghassam,
16

Amano, Yukiya,
203

American Enterprise Institute Foreign and Defense Policy Studies,
158

Amrollahi, Reza,
37

Anglo-Iranian Oil Company,
135

Ankara,
92
–94,
350

Annan, Kofi,
244

Ansar-e Hizballah,
20
,
242

Ansari, Ali,
13

anti-Semitism,
30
,
70

anti-Zionism,
30

Arabian Sea,
146
,
232

Arabic language,
15
,
24
,
85

Arab-Israel conflict,
211
,
259
,
295
,
300
–301,
389

Iranian involvement in,
11
,
26
,
286

Palestinian issue in,
15
,
26
,
95
,
163
,
204
,
213

peace process in,
127
,
286

Saudi involvement in,
86
–87

wars of,
74
,
81
,
87
,
90
,
183
,
210
,
212
,
298
,
317
,
322
–23,
352
,
457

Arab League,
250

Arab oil embargo of 1973,
363

Arab Spring,
20
,
26
,
27
,
32
,
317
–19,
398
,
410
,
444

economic and social dilemmas of,
95
–96

emergence of Arab public opinion in,
96

Iranian nuclear threat and,
79
–80,
95

regional impact of,
95
–97,
171
,
462

Arad, Uzi,
148
–49

Arak plutonium plant,
36
–37,
39
,
48
–50,
192
,
198

Arbabsiar, Mansour J.,
24
,
30
–35,
174
,
217
,
259
,
273
,
304
,
305
,
335

Argentina,
42
,
78
,
98
,
99
,
376
,
417

Armed Forces, U.S.,
313

ABLE ARCHER
83
military exercise of,
307
–8

low-intensity conflict (LIC) skills of,
319
–20

see also specific armed forces

Arms and Influence
(Schelling),
77

Army, U.S.,
77
,
270
,
345

82nd Airborne Division of,
267

101st Air Assault Division of,
267

173rd Airborne Brigade of,
267

Asad, Bashar al-,
26
,
92
–93,
398
,
417

Asaib ahl al-Haq,
319

Ashkenazi, Gabi,
306

Athens,
282

Atomic Energy Organization of Iran,
37
,
62

Attiyah, Khalid bin Mohamed al-,
250

Australia,
98
,
130

B-1 bomber,
231

B-2 bomber,
231
–32,
234

B-52 bomber,
231
–32

Baghdad,
10
,
50
,
69
,
199
,
266
,
268
,
308

Baghdad Pact of 1955,
351

Bahrain,
28
,
29
,
70
,
84
,
95
,
231
,
247
,
314
,
317
,
342
,
348

civil unrest in,
346

Iranian aid to Shi'a opposition in,
12
,
15
,
32
,
65
,
78
,
79
,
316

Saudi proposal of union with,
15
,
441

Saudi support for Sunni royal family of,
15