Authors: Eric Blehm
It was a straightforward suggestion. Lowry figured that the incident command team would read it and send another dog back to the immediate vicinity where Seeker had fallen through the ice, where she had taken the time to mark the GPS coordinates. If two dogs showed interest, or alerted, there would be no doubt that Seeker had been on to something. The next dog would tell the tale, she thought.
At the end of the next day, Lowry saw Eloise Anderson at the incident command post. Anderson had been somewhat of a mentor to Lowry as she and Seeker had gone through the CARDA certification process. During their conversation, Lowry found out that it was Anderson who had been flown back to the Window Peak drainage to take over where Seeker left off. Anderson said she hadn't been informed of Lowry's recommendation. She certainly wasn't given the GPS coordinates that Lowry had recorded.
Had there been an error? Was Lowry's recommendation overlooked by the incident command team in the stress of the SAR? Or was it considered andâlike the Window Peak area itselfâdeemed a low priority? That could be the reason why the next search dog continued where Seeker and Lowry had been picked up by the helicopter, on the shores of Window Peak Lake, instead of going back to cover the area Lowry had recommended, just a quarter mile upstream.
It was in that quarter-mile gap that Randy's remains were found. Nobody can remember with certainty why Lowry's recommendation hadn't been followed. Scott Wanek, who was the operations chief during the original SAR, took part in the recovery, and attended both of Randy's memorial services, had been at the planning meetings each day of the search. He remembers that they were meticulous, but, he explains, “searching for people is not an exact science. It will always
boil down to making judgment calls about a very complex array of human behavior, terrain, and weather. We can be fairly scientific about organizing resources and keeping track of where we have searched, but ultimately, just about every critical decision during a search has to be made by people based on human judgment using information available at the time.” For whatever reason, the information at the time told the overhead planning team not to send Anderson's dog to the location Lowry had recommended.
Was it possible, then, that Lowry's recommendation had been ignored or overlookedâhad there been a mistake?
“If the information was simply lost in the shuffle somehow, then I would consider that a mistake,” says Wanek. “But if it was obtained and evaluated and the decision was made to give it a low priority for follow-up, then I definitely would not consider it a mistake.” Wanek's gut feeling is that the information was evaluated and given a low priority.
Debbie Bird, who calls the search for Randy the most difficult SAR she has ever been involved with, says, “There was never any doubt in my mind that we had covered all the bases, some a number of timesâeverything was done that could have been done.” She does admit, however, that “the one thing I would have done differently would have been to bring in a fresh incident command team, probably composed of people from outside Sequoia and Kings Canyon, midway through the search in order to bring fresher, rested minds to the search. But by the time it really occurred to me, it was time to start talking about scaling back the search.”
In June of 1997, Bird organized a formal board of reviewâmade up of search-and-rescue professionals from other parks such as Glacier, Cascades Cluster, and Yosemiteâthat critically evaluated the Morgenson SAR. The board concluded that the search had been “conducted in accordance with policy and using the best available technical knowledge and equipment.” However, “While command staff was not necessarily formally trained to be qualified to occupy the Incident Command Positions as filled, the experience and technical knowledge levels
present in the IC Team provided for incident management at a level sufficient to insure that the best possible search effort was made.”
Still, a number of problems were identified regarding the SAR. They included the parks' “inadequate” radio system and how “Routine tracking of backcountry staff (roundup) error resulted in delay before search initiation. The somewhat lax method of daily accountability for the backcountry staff resulted in a probably 24-hour delayâ¦.” Most of these problems were discounted in the board's official report, with such disclaimers as “None of the communications issues adversely impacted the outcome of the search and some of the problems have subsequently been corrected.”
Bird maintains that her reason for requesting the review in 1997 had been to critique her staff's performance and to potentially “learn from our mistakes.” The discovery of Randy's remains in 2001 represented the true “outcome of the search,” yet no board of review has critiqued why Lowry's suggestion had not been acted uponâwhat might have been a major mistake.
Randy's remains were found approximately 150 feet downstream from where Lowry had recommended the incident command team follow up. Of course, Randy was certainly dead long before Lowry and Seeker entered the drainage. In the end, it was, at the very least, frustratingly bad luck that they had come so close yet had not found him then. It would have eliminated five years of anguish for Judi and Randy's friends and colleagues, and his body would potentially have told a more definitive story.
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ONCE ALDEN NASH HEARD
the story about the search dog, he began to think in terms of snow and ice. He speculated that whatever had happened to Randy might have occurred farther upstream, near where Seeker almost drowned.
At the recovery investigation, search dogs and searchers had not found any of Randy's remains or equipment upstream from the radio, and they logically concluded that his death likely occurred at or very near the spot where the heavy Motorola radio had embedded itself in
the creek bed.
Nash also learned that Lowry, upon seeing photos of the gully and gorge, was “astounded by the depth of the gully along the creek.” She had remembered it as all snow, with little or no indication of a gully. That being the case, Nash reasoned, there would have been up to 10 or 15 feet of snow in places along the creek, no doubt left over from winter avalanche activity. This also explained with virtual certainty why Kenan's search party had not crossed the creek: it had been too dangerous. But ten days earlier, before a storm cycle brought rain to the area, it would have appeared more stable and crossable. That was when Randy had been in the drainage.
Nash talked with ski guides who travel in the high country during the winter. He consulted the California Department of Water Resources Cooperative Snow Surveys data for both Charlotte Lake and Bench Lakeâthe nearest snow survey courses to the Window Peak drainage. He used his contacts to obtain satellite images of the area, and George Durkee then mapped the GPS coordinates from Lowry and compared them to the location where the radio had been found. At first there seemed to be a small problem: Lowry's GPS coordinates placed Seeker and her in a cliffy area on the western slope of the drainageâfar above the creek and nowhere near any water. Knowing a dog couldn't have fallen through ice where there was no water, Durkee deduced that on the GPS coordinates, the correct number, 9, had been recorded as a 4 on the debriefing form, likely occurring when Lowry read her handwritten scrawl from the field to the debriefer at Cedar Grove. Once Durkee plugged the corrected number into his computer mapping program, the location was right on the edge of a small but occasionally deep pool that, according to Durkee's program, placed Seeker 97 feet upstream from where the radio was located. Using these new coordinates, Nash zoomed in on the satellite images and, from his memory of “the spot,” formulated an entirely different theory:
Randy had not fallen through a snow bridge at the location of the radioârather, he'd attempted to cross the creek farther upstream from west to east and, like Seeker, had fallen through the ice. But when
Randy crossed the area ten days before Seeker did, it likely looked like solid snow, which he would have assumed concealed a narrow creek beneathânot the deep water of a hidden pond. “If Randy went through the ice,” says Nash, “the marks would have disappeared in a day or two because of the rapid melting and settling of the snowpack. In a very few days it would look like the usual winter snow cover or lake ice as it softened during the day and refroze at night. It would have taken an unusually astute observer to sort that scenario out in those circumstances, and maybe with the dynamics of that snowpack it would have been totally unsortable.”
“However,” says Nash, “the dog would know.”
According to this scenario, “It would have been over quickly and solves the waist-belt mystery. The fact that it was attached on his backpack suggests something quick and disastrous, medical or otherwise.” Lowry remembers Seeker “swimming against a current” when she'd fallen through the ice, enlarging the hole with her paws, which illustrated how thin the ice was at the time. Ten days earlier, the ice was likely topped by more snow and would have been thicker. If Randy had punched through, he would have dropped deep into the freezing water because of the weight of his backpack. The current would have pushed him immediately away from the hole in the ice. After a few frantic attempts to resurface, his hands would have been numb from the freezing water, making it nearly impossible to unbuckle his waist belt. He would have been trapped with his backpack on, under the ice, for little more that 30 seconds before panic, hypothermia, and lack of oxygen ushered in death.
“At that elevation Randy would have been preserved in place for quite some time,” says Nash. “Probably until very late in the season and possibly frozen in place until the next winter.” Nash explains how the two years following Randy's disappearance had been above-average snow years. Avalanches would or could have buried the small pool in question with even more snow. “That is way wicked steep country above that creek, and it slides constantly in winter and spring,” he says.
But how did Randy's body end up 150 feet downstream from where
he'd fallen through the ice without leaving behind any remains or gear? Nash answers that question by telling the story of a World War IIâera plane that crashed in a training flight on the Mendel Glacier in the north end of Sequoia and Kings Canyon. The plane did not surface until the 1960s, when pieces of debris and occupants began appearing on the retreating face of the glacier. “These mountains can swallow you up and spit you out when and where they decide,” says Nash. “I have observed more than once the evidence of a large snow avalanche crashing down on a lake and scooping all or part of the lake out and completely over the outlet side of the lake. Everythingâfish, water, logs, and rocksâends up in a debris field below the lake. In our small lake in question, this would put everything in the channel just above where Randy's radio was lying. As I recall, the channel was a classic debris field of stuff that had migrated there from above through natural erosion and snow and rock slides. This pool was already in the channel, so the spring high water would wash the debris in question down into the gorge where Randy was found.”
Nash's theory explains why Kenan, Sanger, Gordon, and the other searchers had not seen Randy near the area where the radio was foundâat the time of the search, he would have been under snow and ice farther upstream.
Regarding the switched-on radio: “It is a normal situation for rangers to be walking along with the radio on and zippered into the top pocket of their pack with just the antenna protruding out while monitoringâor in anticipation of the morning roundup,” says Nash. “In this case and with the lake-ice theory, the radio might not have left the pack for years.” Nash explains how Randy's body would have been “rolled” down the creek with his backpack on, and the antenna would have slowly worked the zipper open, or “some critter” had tried to get at Randy's lunch that would probably have been on top, next to the radio. Eventually, the radio slipped out of that pocket right where they found it, and “it was heavy enough to stay put while Randy and his pack continued to roll downstream another 50 feetâprobably being nibbled on along the wayâand didn't stop until he was wedged in
those falls.”
Nash seems to have a well-thought-out response for all the major points of contentionâthe waist belt, the movement of the body to its final resting point, the radio being switched on. But what about Randy being there in the first place? Certainly Randy's time in the mountains had tipped him off that he was crossing a potentially dangerous area, whether it was a snow bridge over the creek or a snow-and ice-covered pond.
“First off, you can't ignore Randy's state of mind at the time,” says Nash. “That alone put him at a major disadvantage. There is no doubt in my mind that Randy's mind-set had something to do with his death.” That said, “In the Park Service, we're often asked to identify the hazards in a certain area. But how does a backcountry ranger alone on patrol identify hazards when the whole damn place is a hazard? Any ranger route is a hazard, and in between one hazard and another hazard is
another
hazardâlike a snow bridge. You've got to get across a creek, and chances are it's stable. You've done it many times before. Sometimes you've gone around it, but usually you've walked as lightly as possible and done it. But it's hard to walk softly with a 50-pound pack. It's roulette, that's what it is. I guess after twenty-eight years of good luck, you're gonna hit black when you bet on red.”
Nash's theoryâthat Seeker fell through the ice on the same pond where Randy had drowned beneath its frozen surfaceâeven holds something for those with an appetite for the supernatural. First, there was Judi's dream of the man with a backpack at the bottom of a lake. Then there was the “psychic” backpacker who told rangers that she'd had a disturbing vision of a man trapped underneath something. Finally, in Robert Bly's
Iron John,
the book that Randy had read so avidly, the bearded “wild man” in the story is discovered at the bottom of a pond or small lake when a dog is pulled into the water. This from the book that Randy had said “spoke to me.”