Unthinkable (88 page)

Sunnis in,
84
,
85

UAE and,
88
–89,
342

union with Bahrain proposed by,
15

U.S. alliance with,
15
,
27
,
33
,
66
,
127
,
231
,
285
,
346

Saudi Aramco,
85

Saudi royal family,
84
,
87
,
91

Schake, Kori,
330

Schelling, Thomas,
77

Schwarzkopf, Norman,
353

Scowcroft, Brent,
308

“Second Nuclear Age,”
302

Seleucids,
10

Senate, U.S.,
279

Seoul,
74

September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks,
271
,
289

aftermath of,
274
,
287
,
302

destruction of World Trade Center in,
69

U.S. response to,
122
,
244
,
259
,
274
,
318
,
330

Serbia,
237
,
241
,
254

Shabani, Mohammad Ali,
134

Shakuri, Gholam,
24
–25

Shamir, Yitzhak,
389

Sharoudi, Mahmoud Hashemi,
18

Shatt al-Arab waterway,
16
,
304

Shiffer, Shimon,
215

Shire, Jacqueline,
196
–99

Shrewd Sanctions
(O'Sullivan),
152
–53

Singapore,
154
,
293

Smith, Jeff,
245
–46

Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT),
131

Solidarity movement,
385

Soltanieh, Ali Asghar,
203

Somme, Battle of,
300

South Africa,
365

GDP of,
180

sanctions against,
179
–80

South Asia,
10
,
27
,
69

Southeast Asia Treaty Organization (SEATO),
351

South Korea,
98
,
99
,
130
,
293
,
295
,
368
,
371
,
374
,
376

North Korean attacks on,
74
,
80
,
294
–95,
333

see also
Korean War

Soviet Frontal Aviation,
312

Soviet Union,
71

Chinese clashes with,
75
–76,
298

collapse of,
153
,
166
,
282
,
286
,
315
,
349
,
405

economy of,
282

“hotline” between U.S. and,
324

issue of nuclear war between U.S. and,
xix
,
66
,
323
,
324
,
326
,
328
–29,
332
–33

military power of,
282

nuclear arsenal of,
34
,
35
,
75
–76,
98
,
293
,
295
,
328
–29,
418

Politburo of,
322
,
367

U.S. relations with,
xix
,
66
,
75
,
77
,
281
,
282
–83,
302
,
307
–8,
312
–13,
323
,
324
,
326
,
328
–29,
332
–33,
344
–45,
370
–71,
390
,
391

withdrawal of troops from Iran by,
77

see also
Cold War; Cuban Missile Crisis; Russia

Spain,
237
,
368
,
417

Sparta,
282

Stalin, Joseph,
21
,
77
,
300
,
410

Stanford University,
170

State Department, U.S.,
170
,
245
,
466

Stephens, Bret,
299
,
301

Strait of Hormuz,
see
Hormuz, Strait of

Strategies of Containment
(Gaddis),
370
–71

Suez Canal 1956 crisis,
328

“Sunni Bomb,”
73

Sunni-Shi'a conflict,
27
–28,
70
,
84
,
85
,
92
–93,
95

Supreme National Security Council of Iran,
138

Suskind, Ron,
308

Sweden,
98

Switzerland,
5
,
98
,
130

Syria,
70
,
76
,
211
,
316
,
323
,
372

Asad regime in,
26
,
92
–93,
398
,
417

civil war in,
26
,
27
–28,
65
,
92
–93,
188
,
318

80 percent Sunni population in,
27
–28

Iranian support of government in,
65
,
93

Israeli attacks on,
184
,
194
,
246
–47,
398
,
399

nuclear program of,
48
,
184
,
202
,
222
,
247
,
417

opposition militias in,
27
–28

Shi'i Alawite community in,
27
–28,
92
–93,
211

Turkey and,
92
–93

Taiwan,
98
,
293
,
374
,
376

Takeyh, Ray,
14
,
21
,
112

Taliban,
121
–22,
287
,
369

Iranian diplomats killed by,
17

Iranian support for,
26
,
30
,
173
,
273

1998 control of Afghanistan by,
17
,
114

2001 Afghan eviction of,
241

Tanker War of 1987–88,
25
,
65
,
72
,
264
,
285
,
303
,
444

Taraghi, Hamid Reza,
116

Tehran,
11
,
14
–15,
16
,
24
,
25
,
71
,
189

Iranian seizure of U.S. Embassy in,
114

student protests in,
171

Swiss Embassy in,
116

2009 demonstrations in,
19
–20

Tehran Research Reactor (TRR),
42
,
57
,
125
–26,
132
,
133
,
141

Tel Aviv,
207

Telhami, Shibley,
213
–14

terrorism,
130

definition of,
28
n

against Israel,
193
,
211
–12,
217
,
337

Libyan,
153

nuclear,
68
–70,
97
–98

Pakistani,
73

state sponsorship of,
69

suicide,
114
,
300

see also
Iran, terrorism supported and practiced by

Thinking About the Unthinkable
(Kahn),
xix

Thucydides,
282

Times of Israel,
213
,
215

Toukan, Abdullah,
195
–96,
233
–34

Truman, Harry,
71
,
77

Tunis,
194

Tunisia,
27
,
317

Turkey,
10
,
92
–94,
110
,
219
,
227
,
248

air defenses of,
188
–89

economy and trade of,
93

Kurdish population of,
92

NATO membership of,
349
–52

official secularism of,
92

Sunni population in,
92
,
350

threat of Iranian nuclear program to,
3
,
66
,
92
–93,
94
,
331

Western alliances of,
93
–94

Turkish army,
71

Tuwaitha,
184
,
199

Uganda,
193
–94

Ukraine,
365

United Arab Emirates (UAE),
26
,
78
,
87
–89,
91
,
95
,
127
,
154
,
231
,
247
,
249
–50,
316
,
348
–49

Iran and,
87
–88

nuclear program of,
88
–89,
461

oil industry of,
88
,
262

Saudi Arabia and,
88
–89,
342

United Kingdom,
33
,
45
,
77
,
169
,
292
,
349
,
419

intelligence agencies of,
35
,
51
–52,
148

Iranian relations with,
16
,
41
–42,
71
,
135

Nazi Blitz of,
300

nuclear arsenal of,
64
,
83
,
94

United Nations,
323

Charter of,
38
,
40
,
122
,
244
,
245

Conference on Disarmament in,
294

General Assembly of,
279
–80

inspection of Iran nuclear facilities by,
55
–56,
108
–9

Iran nuclear program banned by,
38

Iran sanctioned by,
48
,
114
–15,
121
,
122
,
124
–25,
129
–30,
143
,
219
,
245
,
248

Iraq sanctioned by,
47
,
143
,
151
,
227

P-5+1 permanent Security Council members of,
125
–26,
150
,
228
–29,
253

Resolution 1929 of,
382

Security Council of,
38
,
40
,
48
,
99
,
117
,
121
,
122
,
124
–25,
129
–30,
143
,
155
,
203
–4,
243
–44,
254
,
274
,
382

United States:

allies of,
15
,
27
–29,
33
,
51
–52,
64
,
66
,
68
,
71
,
81
,
173
,
244
–45

Appalachia in,
5

attempted influence of Iranian policy by,
xiii
,
8
–9,
29
,
33

belief in Iraq WMD program by,
44
–48,
69

costs and risks of Iranian nuclear program to,
xvi
–xix,
3
,
64
–82

foreign relations of,
see specific countries

as “Great Satan,”
22
,
23

Hiroshima bombing by,
36
,
80

indirect Iranian attacks on,
24
–25,
65
,
67
,
72
,
78
,
81
–82,
85
,
114
,
148
–50,
157
,
180
,
273

intelligence community of,
23
,
32
,
43
–45,
50
–52,
62
–63,
176
,
197
,
259
,
331
,
359
–60,
399
,
449
,
451

Iranian hatred of,
13
–14,
23
–26,
59
,
60
,
67
,
72
,
78
,
81
–82,
85
,
114
,
148
–50,
157
,
180
,
273

Iran policy options of,
xiii
–xx,
72
,
101
–421;
see also
United States, military option of

issue of nuclear war between Soviets and,
xix
,
66
,
323
–24,
326
,
328
–29,
332
–33

military strength of,
224
–26

nuclear arsenal of,
34
,
35
,
36
,
66
,
73
,
77
,
83
–84,
94
,
98
,
325
,
328
–36

oil imports of,
220

possible naval blockade of Iran by,
226
–29

post 9/11,
33

protracted Iran crisis of,
xiii
,
xvii
,
33
,
72
,
82

public opinion in,
225
,
244
,
255
–57

surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities of,
231
–33,
247
,
331
,
359
–60

United States military option of,
xiv
–xvi,
xx
,
3
,
42
,
55
,
60
,
65
,
72
–73,
104
,
206
–7,
224
–75