Why the West Rules--For Now (108 page)

525
“
to unite
”: Wilhelm II, letter to Tsar Nicholas II (September 26, 1895) (available at
http://wwi.lib.byu.edu/index.php/VI_Jagdhaus_Rominten_26/IX/95
).

526
“
What happened
”: Commander Aleksei Nikolaevich Kuropatkin (1905), cited from Ferguson 2007, p. 53.

529
“
The financial center
”: Secretary of State John Hay, cited from Frieden 2006, p. 141.

530
“
the influence of
”: Keynes 1930, vol. 2, pp. 306–307.

530
“
gazing at their destiny
”: George Orwell,
The Road to Wigan Pier
(1937), pp. 85–86.

531
“
I have seen
”: Lincoln Steffens (1919), cited from Steffens 1938, p. 463.

531
“
It is only
”: Lieutenant-Colonel Ishiwara Kanji (1932), cited from Totman 2000, p. 424.

532
“
The first cause
”: Adolf Hitler to Hjalmar Schacht (1936), cited from Frieden 2006, p. 204.

532
“
The war situation
”: Emperor Hirohito (August 15, 1954), cited from R. Frank 1999, p. 320.

533
“
economic, social and political
”: John J. McCloy (1945), cited from Judt 2005, p. 39.

534
“
atomic bomb itself
”: Churchill, cited from Reynolds 2000, p. 36.

534
“
create on the whole
”: Internal Kremlin report (1953), cited from Holloway 1994, p. 337.

534
“
Strange as it
”: Churchill, speech to the House of Commons (1955), cited from Gaddis 2005, p. 65.

536
“
Let’s be frank
”: Prime Minister Harold Macmillan, speech at Bedford (July 20, 1957), cited from Sandbrook 2005, p. 80.

536
“
residents from raw estates
”: Philip Larkin, “Here” (1964), reprinted in Larkin 2004, p. 79.

537
“
Snub-nosed monsters
”: John Steinbeck,
The Grapes of Wrath
(1939), chapter 5.

540
“
if allowed to
”: Riesman 1964 (first published 1951), p. 64.

541
“
Anything that makes
” etc.: Richard Nixon and Leonid Brezhnev, the “Kitchen Debate” (Moscow, July 24, 1959), cited from
http://teachingamericanhistory.org/library/index.asp?document=176
.

542
“
Flog the driver!
” etc.: joke cited from Reynolds 2000, p. 541n.

544
“
The dearest people
”:
China Youth Journal
(September 27, 1958), cited from Becker 1996, p. 106.

544
“
The Party Secretary
”: Bo Yibo,
Retrospective of Several Big Decisions and Incidents
(1993), cited from Becker 1996, pp. 107–108.

544
“
It is not
”: Lu Xianwen (autumn 1959), cited from Becker 1996, p. 113.

544
“
The air is filled
”: Report from Jiangxi (autumn 1958), cited from Spence 1990, p. 580.

545
“
Communism is paradise
”: Song by Kang Sheng (1958), cited from Becker 1996, p. 104.

545
“
No one in our family
”: Informant, cited from Becker 1996, p. 136.

545
“
The worst thing
”: Informant, cited from Becker 1996, p. 138.

546
“
It was class hatred
”: “Li XX,” public poster in Beijing (September 2, 1966), cited from MacFarquhar and Schoenhals 2006, p. 127.

546
“
This was the week
”: President Richard Nixon, toast at a dinner in Shanghai (February 27, 1972), cited from Reynolds 2000, p. 329.

547
“
bookworms who
”: Zhang Tiesheng (1973), cited from Spence 1990, p. 638. In 1976 the “Gang of Four” (an ultraleftist clique including Mao Zedong’s widow) was accused of inventing this whole episode.

547
“
a socialist train
”: slogan attributed to the Gang of Four (1976), cited from Spence 1990, p. 651.

548
“
During the ‘Cultural Revolution’
”: Deng Xiaoping, speech (September 2, 1986), cited from Gittings 2005, p. 103.

548
“
How do you double
”: cited from “Soviet Cars: Spluttering to a Halt,”
The Economist
, July 10, 2008.

549
“
We can’t go on
”: Mikhail Gorbachev, private conversation (1985), cited from Gorbachev 1995, p. 165.

549
“
In the Soviet Union
”: Gorbachev 1995, p. 490.

549
“
dregs of society
”: Deng, speech to party leaders and army officers (June 9, 1989), cited from Spence 1990, p. 744.

550
“
Our first objective
”: Zalmay Khalilzad,
Defense Planning Guidance, FY 1994–1999
, Section IB, cited from
http://www/gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nukevault/ebb245/index.htm
(accessed October 17, 2008).

551
“
an official who believes
”: Patrick Tyler,
New York Times
(March 8, 1992), p. I1, cited from J. Mann 2004, p. 210.

552
“
proceed slowly
”: Deng, speech at Shenzhen Folk Culture Village (1992), cited from Gittings 2005, p. 252.

553
“
the China price
”:
Business Week
(December 6, 2004), p. 104.

553
“
The boss remarked
”: Kynge 2006, pp. 89–90.

553
“
The direction of the wind
”: Mao, speech in Moscow (November 1957), cited from Schram 1969, p. 409.

11. WHY THE WEST RULES …

566
“
Men make
”: Marx,
The Eighteenth Brumaire of Louis Napoleon
(1852).

572
“
It is … in vain
”: Lord Macartney (1793), from Cranmer-Byng 1963, p. 191.

579
“
Let us speculate
”: Mao, speech in Moscow, November 18, 1957, cited from Short 1999, p. 489.

580
“
hand went up
”: R. F. Kennedy 1969, p. 71.

581
“
Recorded history
”: Elton 1967, p. 62.

12.… FOR NOW

582
–83
economic output estimates
: National Intelligence Council 2008, p. 6; Wilson and Stupnytska 2007; Hawksworth and Cookson 2008; Maddison 2006; Fogel 2007.

583
“
If the courses
” and “He became”: Dickens,
Christmas Carol
, Staves 4 and 5.

585
“
Chimerica
”: Ferguson and Schularick 2007; Ferguson 2009.

586
2010 growth predictions
: International Monetary Fund 2009, Table 1.1.

586
Congressional Budget Office
: Douglas Elmendorf, cited from “Falls the Shadow: The Deficit and Health Care,”
The Economist
, July 25, 2009, p. 25 (available at
http://www.economist.com
).

586
“
After … 1989
”: cited from “May the Good China Preserve Us,”
The Economist
, May 23, 2009, p. 47 (available at
http://www.economist.com
).

587
–88
2030 and 2040 incomes
calculated from Maddison 2006, Table 5, and Fogel 2007, Tables 1, 2. Maddison expresses GDP in 1990 US$; I have converted these to 2000 US$ using Bureau of Labor Statistics values (
http://stats.bls.gov/
).

588
“
Soothing Scenario
”: J. Mann 2007, p. 1.

588
“
Trade freely
”: George W. Bush, speech at the Ronald Reagan Library, Simi Valley, California (November 19, 1999), cited in Dietrich 2005, p. 29.

589
“
contested modernities
”: Jacques 2009, p. 100.

591
“
Our way of life
”: Jeremy Rifkin, from an interview conducted in 2000, cited from Singer 2009, p. 105.

592
“
a future period
”: Kurzweil 2005, pp. 5, 24.

593
“
the Rapture for Nerds
”: an expression coined by the science fiction novelist Ken MacLeod in his novel
The Cassini Division
(1998).

593
“
criticism from incredulity
”: Kurzweil 2005, p. 432.

593
“
When a scientist
”: Richard Smalley, cited from Nicholas Thompson, “Downsizing: Nanotechnology—Why You Should Sweat the Small Stuff,”
Washington Monthly
, October 2000 (
http://washingtonmonthly.com/features/2000/0010.thompson.html
).