When China Rules the World (86 page)

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Authors: Jacques Martin

Tags: #History, #Asia, #China, #Political Science, #International Relations, #General

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57
. Nolan,
China at the Crossroads
, p. 30. Chinese tax revenues increased by 22 per cent in 2006 and by 20 per cent in 2005, which suggests that this process is continuing.
58
. David Shambaugh, ‘The Rise of China and Asia’s New Dynamics’, in Shambaugh, ed.,
Power Shift: China and Asia’s New Dynamics
(Berkeley: University of California Press, 2005), p. 18.
59
. ‘Year of the Three Big Headaches’,
South China Morning Post
, 4 January 2007.
60
. ‘China’s Priorities’,
Financial Times
, 9 March 2008.
61
. Yu Yongding, ‘China’s Structural Adjustment’, p. 5.
62
. Yu Yongding, ‘China’s Rise, Twin Surplus and the Change of China’s Development Strategy’, pp. 24-5.
63
. ‘What Will the World Gain from China in 20 Years?’
China Business Review
, March/April 2003.
64
. Zha Daojiong, ‘China’s Energy Security and Its International Relations’,
China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly
, 3: 3 (November 2005), p. 44; and Yu Yongding, ‘The Interactions between China and the World Economy’, unpublished paper, Nikkei Simbon Symposium, 5 April 2005, p. 2.
65
. Lester R. Brown, ‘A New World Order’,
Guardian
, 25 January 2006.
66
. Javier Blas and Carola Hoyos, ‘IEA Predicts Oil Price to Rebound to $100’,
Financial Times
, 5 November 2008.
67
. Joseph Kahn and Jim Yardley, ‘As China Roars, Pollution Reaches Deadly Extremes’,
New York Times
, 26 August 2007.
68
. Elizabeth C. Economy,
The River Runs Black: The Environmental Challenge to China’s Future
(Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2004), Chapter 2; Mark Elvin,
The Retreat of the Elephants: An Environmental History of China
(New Haven and London: Yale University Press, 2004), pp. 460-71.
69
. John Warburton and Leo Horn, ‘China’s Crisis: A Development Perspective (Part One)’, 25 October 2007, posted on
www.chinadialogue.net
.
70
. Gaoming Jiang and Jixi Gao, ‘The Terrible Cost of China’s Growth’, 12 January 2007, posted on
www.chinadialogue.net
; Economy,
The River Runs Black
, p. 18; Warburton and Horn, ‘China’s Crisis: A Development Perspective (Part One)’.
71
. ‘Chinese Carmakers Veer to Green’,
International Herald Tribune
, 21-22 April 2007.
72
. ‘Can Shanghai Turn Green and Grow?’, posted on
www.bbc.co.uk/news
; Lex, ‘Chinese Cars’,
Financial Times
, 6 July 2007.
73
. Yu Yongding, ‘The Interactions between China and the World Economy’, p. 3.
74
. ‘China Gains on US in Emissions’,
International Herald Tribune
, 9 November 2006.
75
. Warburton and Horn, ‘China’s Crisis’.
76
. ‘China Gas Emissions “May Pass US”’, 25 April, 2007, posted on
http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk
. The International Energy Agency originally estimated that China would surpass the US in 2009 as the biggest emitter of the main gas linked to global warming.
78
. Jonathon Porritt, ‘China Could Lead the Fight for a Cooler Climate’, 13 November 2007, posted on
www.chinadialogue.net
(accessed 2/6/08). The Chinese National Climate Change Assessment Report has predicted that by 2020 the average temperature in China will increase by between 1.1°C and 2.1° C.
79
. Maddison,
Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run
, p. 97.
80
. ‘Climate Key Issue for Wen at Asean Talks’,
South China Morning Post
, 19 November 2007.
81
. Warburton and Horn, ‘China’s Crisis (Part One)’.
82
. ‘Economy is More Important, China Says’,
International Herald Tribune
, 5 June 2007; Porritt, ‘China Could Lead the Fight for a Cooler Climate.’
83
. Hu Angang, ‘Green Development: The Inevitable Choice for China, Parts One and Two’, posted on
www.chinadialogue.net
(acessed 2/6/08).
84
. Dominic Ziegler, ‘Reaching for Renaissance: A Special Report on China and Its Region’,
The Economist
, 31 March 2007.
85
. John Warburton and Leo Horn, ‘China’s Crisis: A Development Perspective (Part Two), 25 October 2007, posted on
www.chinadialogue.net
; Keith Bradsher and David Barboza, ‘Pollution from Chinese Coal Casts a Global Shadow’,
New York Times
, 11 June 2006.
86
. Porritt, ‘China Could Lead the Fight for a Cooler Climate’.
87
. ‘China Carmakers Go Green in Drive for Profit’,
Financial Times
, 20 April 2008.
88
. Each car had to spend one day a week off the road. These restrictions were reintroduced again after the Olympics in an effort to improve air quality.
89
. Chunli Lee, ‘Strategic Alliances of Chinese, Japanese and US firms in the Chinese Manufacturing Industry: The Impact of “China Prices” and Integrated Localization’, paper presented for the Fairbank Center for East Asia Research, Harvard University, October 2004.
90
. James Kynge,
China Shakes the World: The Rise of a Hungry Nation
(London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 2006), pp. 160-62.
91
. Gilboy, ‘The Myth behind China’s Miracle’, pp. 4-5.
92
. Kynge,
China Shakes the World
, pp. 108-10, 112; Shenkar,
The Chinese Century
, pp. 66-8.
93
. Kynge,
China Shakes the World
, p. 109.
94
. Prestowitz,
Three Billion New Capitalists
, pp. 147, 149; Kynge,
China Shakes the World
, pp. 83-4; Shenkar,
The Chinese Century
, p. 165.
95
. Kynge,
China Shakes the World
, pp. 72, 78-82.
96
. Prestowitz,
Three Billion New Capitalists
, p. 143.
97
. James Wilsdon and James Keeley,
China: The Next Science Superpower?
(London: Demos, 2007), p. 9.
98
. Ibid., p. 7.
99
. Ibid., p. 16.
100
. Ping Zhou and Loet Leydesdorff, ‘The Emergence of China as a Leading Nation in Science’,
Research Policy
, 35 (2006), pp. 86-92, 100; Wilsdon and Keeley,
China
, pp. 16-17.
101
. Zhou and Leydesdorff, ‘The Emergence of China as a Leading Nation in Science’, p. 100.
102
. Wilsdon and Keeley,
China
, p. 32.
103
. Nicholas D. Kristof, ‘The Educated Giant’,
International Herald Tribune
, 29 May 2007.
104
. Wilsdon and Keeley,
China
, p. 29.
105
. Zhou and Leydesdorff, ‘The Emergence of China as a Leading Nation in Science’, p. 84.
106
. Wilsdon and Keeley,
China
, pp. 30-31; Geoff Dyer, ‘How China is Rising Through the Innovation Ranks’,
Financial Times
, 5 January 2007; Shenkar,
The Chinese Century
, p. 74; Gittings,
The Changing Face of China
, p. 263.
107
. Suntech Power Holdings, for example, has grown big and successful as China’s leading maker of silicon photovoltaic solar cells; Thomas L. Friedman, ‘China’s Sunshine Boys’,
International Herald Tribune
, 7 December 2006. Also ‘China Climbs Technology Value Chain’,
South China Morning Post
, 30 March 2007; Victor Keegan, ‘Virtual China looks for Real Benefits’,
Guardian
, 1 November 2007; ‘High-tech-Hopefuls: A Special Report on Technology in India and China’,
The Economist
, 10 November 2007.
108
. ‘Chinese Patents in “Sharp Rise”’, posted on
www.bloc.co.uk/news
.
109
. ‘China Makes a Move into High-value Exports’,
International Herald Tribune
, 7 June 2007.
110
. ‘Faced with a Steep Learning Curve’,
Financial Times
special report on global brands, 23 April 2007
.
111
. Lee, ‘Strategic Alliances’, pp. 5-6.
112
. Nolan,
Transforming China
, p. 206.
113
. Ibid., pp. 205, 233-93.
114
. Nolan,
China at the Crossroads
, p. 24.
115
. Chunli Lee, ‘China Targets Detroit’,
World Business
, April 2006, pp. 30-32. Local car-makers dominate cars priced below RM 100,000 ($12,000); foreign car-makers all those above. Ibid., pp. 30-32; also ‘Minicars Drive Geely’,
South China Morning Post
, 16 September 2006.
116
. ‘India’s Car for the Common Man’, posted on
www.bbc.co.uk
(accessed 13/5/08). Also Anand Giridharadas, ‘Spirit of Gandhi Inspires a Bargain’,
International Herald Tribune
, 8 January 2008.
117
. Chunli Lee, ‘Trends of Open Product Architecture and Internationalisation of Private Companies in the Chinese Automobile Industry’,
Aichi University Economic Review
, 169 (November 2005), pp. 3-5, 10-14, 23-5; Chunli Lee, Jin Chen and Takahiro Fujimoto, ‘Chinese Automobile Industry and Product Architectures’, unpublished paper; Chunli Lee, ‘Product Development by Chinese Automakers: The Dilemma of Imitation and Innovation’, unpublished working paper for International Vehicle Program, MIT, July 2007, pp. 1-30.
118
. Geely, for example, has announced that it will assemble cars in Indonesia; ‘Geely to Make Cars in Indonesia as Malaysia Refuses to Host Plant’,
South China Morning Post
, 28 September 2006. ‘Chery Gears Up for US Roll-out’,
South China Morning Post
, 26 April 2006.
119
. ‘TCL to Close TV Factories in Europe’,
South China Morning Post
, 1 November 2006.
120
. ‘US Market is Losing Its Appeal to China’,
International Herald Tribune
, 18 April 2007.
121
. ‘China’s Plane Ambitions Take Off’, posted on
www.bbc.co.uk/news
.
122
. ‘Airbus Near a Deal for Assembly Line in China’,
International Herald Tribune
, 16 March 2006.
123
. ‘Chinese Group to Bid for All Six Airbus Plants’,
Guardian
, 19 June 2007.
124
. ‘Air Battle on the Ground in China’,
International Herald Tribune
, 28 February 2007.
125
. ‘China Plans Space Station in 2020’ and ‘China Launches First Moon Orbiter’, posted on
www.bbc.co.uk/news
.
126
. For the steady penetration of Chinese TV sets into the US market, see Shenkar,
The Chinese Century
, pp. 152-3; and
China Goes Global
(London:
Financial Times
, 2005).
127
. ‘Faced with a Steep Learning Curve’,
Financial Times
special report on global brands, 23 April 2007; ‘China Aims for Spot among Top World Brands’,
South China Morning Post
, 5 October 2006.
128
. Lenovo is the world’s fourth biggest PC seller; Sonia Kolesnikov-Jessop, ‘Putting Lenovo’s Brand on the Global Map’,
International Herald Tribune
, 27-8 September 2008.
129
. ‘PetroChina Overtakes Exxon After Shanghai Debut’,
Financial Times
, 5 November 2007; Gideon Rachman, ‘China Has Risen’, international affairs blog,
Financial Times
, 9 November 2007; also Andy Xie, ‘China’s Bubble May Burst But the Impact Will Be Limited’,
Financial Times
, 16 October 2007.
130
. ‘A Complex Rationale for China’s Raid on Rio’,
Financial Times
, 13 February 2008.
131
. Lex, ‘Chinese Oil Majors’,
Financial Times
, 29 October 2008.
132
. ‘China Turns Risk Averse, Even as Capital Outflows Rise’,
Financial Times
, 17 January 2008.
133
. Nolan,
Transforming China
, pp. 222, 227-8.
134
. Lawrence Brainard and Jonathan Fenby, ‘Chinese Takeout’,
Wall Street Journal
, 20 February 2007.
135
. Barry Naughton,
The Chinese Economy: Transitions and Growth
(Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 2007), p. 313.
136
. Geoff Dyer and Richard McGregor, ‘China’s Champions: Why State Ownership is No Longer Proving a Dead Hand’,
Financial Times
, 16 March 2008.
137
. Yasheng Huang,
Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics: Entrepreneurship and the State
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008), pp. 277-80.
138
. The figures in this section are mainly based on Hu Angang, ‘Five Major Scale Effects of China’s Rise’, unpublished seminar paper, East Asia Institute, National University of Singapore, 2005, pp. 1-14; also Angus Maddison,
The World Economy: Historical Statistics
(Paris: OECD, 2003).
139
. Yu Yongding, ‘The Interactions between China and the World Economy’, p. 4.
140
. ‘The Dragon and the Eagle Survey’,
The Economist
, 2 October 2004, p. 29.
141
. See, for example, Roger F. Noriega, ‘China’s Influence in the Western Hemisphere’, statement before the House Sub-committee on the Western Hemisphere, Washington, DC , 16 April 2005; Prestowitz,
Three Billion New Capitalists
, p. 241; and Leni Wild and David Mepnam, eds,
The New Sinosphere: China in Africa
(London: Institute for Public Policy Research, 2006).
142
. Prestowitz,
Three Billion New Capitalists
, p. 240; Shenkar,
The Chinese Century
, p. 110; ‘Latin Textile Makers Feel Chinese Pressure’,
International Herald Tribune
, 2 April 2007.

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